Spain will probably be pressured to slow down its expansionary fiscal policy, says the analyst
Javier Quesada, senior researcher at Valencia’s Institute for Economic Research, says government spending must be slowed and taxes must be raised to lower the debt-to-GDP ratio.
UK aims to be a ‘global leader’ in AI, says technology minister
UK Science, Innovation and Technology Secretary Chloe Smith discusses the country’s strategy to boost its AI industry.
Stocks on the way: ASMI, Faurecia up, Aroundtown down
With European markets broadly positive in afternoon trade, chip makers ASM International was among the top performers, climbing 6.3%.
ASM International share price.
The technology has been enhanced by Nvidiapp results hit Thursday, with Dutch semiconductor company ASML 3% higher.
French suppliers of car parts Faurecia and Valeo were also top performers, rising 6.6% and 4.7%, respectively, after Jefferies analysts upgraded both stocks to a “buy.”
At the other end of the Stoxx 600 index, European property company Around the city fell 2.8%, extending its nearly two-year decline as it struggles with the higher interest rate environment. Bloomberg reported on Thursday that it is considering selling its Center Parcs portfolio to reduce debt.
Aroundtown share price.
A recession in the US would be “good news” for the markets, says Destination’s Michael Yoshikami
Michael Yoshikami, founder and CEO of Destination Wealth Management, discusses the outlook for monetary policy and why a US recession would be positive for markets.
Britain’s Chancellor of the Exchequer says recession is acceptable to bring down inflation
UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt told Sky News he would be comfortable with Bank of England rate hikes pushing the economy into recession as long as inflation falls.
“Because ultimately inflation is a source of instability,” Hunt said. He added that fiscal and monetary policy must work in line “to balance the books so that the markets, the world can see that Britain is a country that pays its own way.”
Money markets raised their bets on the central bank’s top rate from 4.75% to 5.5% after figures on Wednesday showed inflation fell less than forecast.
The Bank’s base rate is currently 4.5% and a 25 basis point increase in June is widely expected.
Gilded harvests have been moves higherapproaching levels last seen in the wake of former Prime Minister Liz Truss’s market-shattering mini-budget last October.
2-year gilt yield.
The International Monetary Fund joined the Bank of England this week proverb it no longer expects the UK to enter recession this year, but noted the outlook was “dim”.
Germany entered a technological recession in the first quarter, revised statistics published Thursday showed.
European shares open higher
European stock markets regained some positive momentum early Friday, with the benchmark Stoxx 600 index up 0.4% at 8:30 a.m. London time.
Britain’s FTSE 100 climbed 0.4%, while Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC were up 0.1% and 0.2% respectively.
Stoxx 600 index.
UK retail sales show monthly rise
Prices in UK shops are rising at a record pace in a sign that the cost of living crisis is far from over.
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Britain’s retail sales volume rose 0.5% month-on-month in April, the Office for National Statistics said on Friday.
Economists polled by Reuters had expected a 0.3% increase after a 1.2% volume decline in March.
However, volumes were down 3% compared to the previous year as the amount spent by consumers increased by 4.7%, showing the impact of inflation on consumers.
Ashley Webb, UK economist at Capital Economics, said better weather, increases in state pensions, social benefits and the minimum wage, and a government cost-of-living payment to low-income households were likely to boost the monthly figure.
“Overall, while the outlook for retail trade appears to be improving, we expect further rate hikes, from 4.50% now to a peak of 5.25%, and that they will remain high until the end of next year. It will meaning real consumer spending is more likely to fall later this year than to rise,” Webb added.
European markets: Here are the opening calls
CNBC Pro: Parts of the market are overbought — but these 4 stocks are still discounted, top strategist says
Parts of the market are in overbought territory, but Morningstar’s Dave Sekera says some stocks the company is bullish on are still trading at a discount to their fair value estimates.
They include a tech giant and a major US bank.
CNBC Pro subscribers can read more here.
— Weizhen Tan
CNBC Pro: Goldman Sachs says these three stocks have at least 75% upside — and one has AI at its core
Earnings season is over and Goldman Sachs has identified three stocks with great upside potential.
In the first quarter, the investment bank said, investors focused on the health of the global consumer and balancing post-pandemic growth with increased margins. Looking ahead, however, investors are expected to focus on large companies with profitable business models.
Based on their first quarter results, Goldman expects shares of three companies identified to rise more than 75%.
CNBC Pro subscribers can read more here.
— Ganesh Rao
Biden, congressional leaders are closing in on a deal to raise the debt ceiling
Congressional leaders and President Joe Biden were close to a tentative agreement to raise the debt ceiling on Thursday, according to a report from Reuters citing people familiar with the matter.
The tie between Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy is pegged at $70 billion in discretionary spending, the report said.
Fed’s Collins says officials are “at or near” a pause in hikes
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins believes that the central bank there stop raising interest rates.
In a speech Thursday to graduates of the Community College of Rhode Island, Collins indicated she sees “signs of moderation” from inflation that could negate the need for future hikes.
“I believe we may be at, or close to, the point where monetary policy may pause to raise interest rates. This will provide an opportunity to more fully assess the impact of the measures taken so far and the general tightening of credit conditions on economic activity, she said in prepared remarks.
However, market pricing has changed, with expectations now that the Fed will raise rates by a quarter of a percentage point by the July meeting.