Everton, Leeds United And city of Leicester All three clubs are heading towards the final day. Premier League Not sure if the season will be there again next year.
Only Southampton have been confirmed to be in danger of relegation to the Championship, but they are only two of three to finish the weekend in despair, since only a few months ago when at least nine teams were in danger of relegation.
Sean Dyche’s team is in the driver’s seat after scoring late against the Wolves in the final timeout, but even though survival is in their hands, a win in their last ten games isn’t exactly guaranteed. finish the job.
Ahead of the finals, Everton is 17th and safety on 33 points, Leicester on 31 points and Leeds on 31 points – but with a lower goal difference than either. Perhaps more importantly, all three parties are home for their final outing; Among the trio, Leeds had the best home record this term – but the Foxes had the most points from the last three on their home ground.
Here’s what each of the three clubs needs to survive, and what each permutation will mean on the last day of 2022/23.
Final day fixtures (Sunday, 4:30 BST)
Everton – Bournemouth (15th) – live stream from Sky Sports
Leeds – Tottenham (8th) – live stream on BT Sport
Leicester – West Ham (14th) – live stream from Sky Sports
If Everton win
We’ll start with the obvious and easy: A victory by Sean Dyche’s side over Cherries makes everything else pointless.
Everton can’t finish above 17th place, but 36 points make them unattended by the other two. For this reason Everton win means they stay aliveAs Leicester and Leeds fall.
If Everton lose
Before we draw our attention to the potential to finish the level on points, here’s the situation if the Toffees are beaten by Bournemouth.
Above all, Leicester and Leeds have to win. If any club fails to score three points from their match, they are defeated and Everton stand up.
If one of them wins and Everton losesEverton will be relegated Whoever claims victory from Leeds or Leicester will standthe other goes down.
If both Leeds and Leicester win, Everton are behind in 19th place and Leeds will be relegated 18th on goal difference… unless they somehow score nine more goals than Leicester did. So if Foxes wins 1-0, Leeds would have to be the first Premier League club to win 10-0 to survive goals scored. It makes you feel a combination of unusual events.
If Everton draw
Here is where things get even more difficult.
A point for Dyche’s side leaves them at 34. Again, if Leeds or Leicester fail to win, they will be relegated regardless of anything else, so only victories there will potentially affect problems. Everton survived. if none of the others win.
So, if Everton draw, Leicester won and Leeds didn’t: Leeds will stay behind in 19th place, while Everton will join them by finishing 18th in the Championship. Leicester alive on goal difference.
If Everton drew, Leeds won and Leicester didn’t: Leicester is in 19th place and relegated and the last point will go to goal difference. Everton are at -24 ahead of the weekend and a draw keeps them in the same position, so Leeds (currently -27) to win by three goals keep up with the goals scored. They’re well ahead of Everton in that respect (47-33), so any three-goal win in this permutation will keep Leeds standing, excluding absurd scenarios like the Everton 18-18 draw.
If Everton draw and both Leeds and Leicester win: Her Leicester standing here and survive a three-way goal difference challenge. It won’t be a big deal for either of them as they will be left behind no matter what, but Leeds and Everton’s order will depend on whether Leeds wins by three points, as in the previous permutation.
Everton needs: Winning their own game or Leicester and Leeds both failing to win.
What does Leicester need?: To win and for Everton to fail.
What Leeds needs: Win and Everton lose or win by three if Everton draw. Leicester should not win in either scenario.
Probability of avoiding relegation
*Correct as of May 24