Sat. Oct 1st, 2022


Let’s dive deeper into two polls that came out over the weekend that present a mixed bag for the Democratic Party as they face losing control of potentially both houses of Congress in the upcoming midterms.

First, the headline: Voters in an NBC News poll are split on which party they’d prefer to see lead Congress, with 46% each backing the GOP and Democrats. That, however, is an improvement over August, when Republicans held a slim lead. GOP voters are leading in terms of enthusiasm, but not by much, a reversal from the double-digit lead they had earlier this year.

Consider it silver linings for the Speaker of the House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, and Senate Majority Leader, Chuck Schumer, from a survey that otherwise confirms that they will have to fight to keep their jobs. But there were more troubling signs from the NBC data, like 47% of voters who say Biden’s policies have hurt the economy, versus 23% who say they’ve helped and 28% who say they’ve made no difference at all.

The New York Times/Siena College poll of Hispanic voters is important because the demographic is seen as a bulwark of Democratic support, and some analysts predict the growing number of Hispanic voters poses a long-term threat to the GOP’s base. The former remains true, at least for now, with 56 percent of those polled saying they plan to vote Democratic. Dig a little deeper and the news is not so good for Joe Bidenfun. Economic issues are the biggest motivator for Hispanic voters, but the data showed they are almost evenly split between Democrats and Republicans on which party they most agree with on the economy.

Key events

There is no end to the legal tussle in the Mar-a-Lago case. Politico reports that on Sunday, the judge overseeing the case gave Donald Trump’s lawyers until Thursday to respond to the government’s request to continue reviewing documents taken from the former president’s Florida resort:

Earlier in September, a federal judge appointed by Trump during his presidency blocked the Justice Department from reviewing the Mar-a-Lago documents and also ordered the appointment of a special master to remove material covered by legal privilege.

The trial of an ally of Donald Trump accused of failing to register as a foreign agent begins today, Reuters reports.

Tom Barrack he chaired the former president’s inaugural committee and was once described as part of a “nightlife musketeer group” along with Trump and a deceased sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein. Barrack faces charges related to his alleged unregistered influence work on the Trump administration on behalf of the United Arab Emirates from 2016 to 2018.

Jury selection is underway, and according to Reuters, Brian Cogan, the federal judge presiding over the case, told the invitees not to try to flee the service. “This trial, if you are selected as a juror, will be particularly interesting to you,” he said.

While Biden went to London for Queen Elizabeth II’s funeral, all living US presidents have been invited to attend a thanksgiving ceremony in her honor on September 21 at the National Cathedral in Washington, DC.

Fox News reports that invitations to the event, organized in collaboration with the British Embassy in the United States, have been sent to Donald Trump, Barack Obama, George W. Bush, Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter. It is not yet clear which of them will attend, but the funerals of heads of state, cabinet secretaries or Supreme Court justices often bring together former US leaders.

Joe Biden is on Air Force One just over the Atlantic, returning from paying his respects at Queen Elizabeth II’s funeral — the first time an American leader has done so, according to presidential historian Michael Beschloss.

In a series of tweets this morning, he clarified:

Incredibly, the first sitting US president to attend the funeral of a British monarch is Joe Biden.

— Michael Beschloss (@BeschlossDC) September 19, 2022

Reasons why Harry Truman did not attend the funeral of King George VI in 1952: no presidential jet in 1952, any ship would have had to sail to the UK on rough winter seas, and by 1952 Truman was privately in more faltering health than the public knew .

— Michael Beschloss (@BeschlossDC) September 19, 2022

Meanwhile, the former president Barack Obama published his own tribute to Elizabeth II.

Michelle and I were lucky enough to know Her Majesty the Queen. When we were just beginning to navigate the life of the President and First Lady, she welcomed us onto the world stage with extraordinary generosity. Our thoughts are with the royal family and those mourning her death. pic.twitter.com/pHzpUJwgYb

— Barack Obama (@BarackObama) September 19, 2022

Here’s the latest from The Guardian on the Queen’s funeral, which will end later today:

Among the many things Congress has on its plate before the year is out is potentially passing legislation to change the law so that the legal maneuvers behind the January 6 uprising cannot be attempted again. Ramon Antonio Vargas has the latest information on:

Two members of a US congressional committee investigating the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol have revealed details of a draft bill that proposes to block any other attempt to force the House and Senate to “steal a presidential election.”

On Sunday, House Reps. Liz Cheney and Zoe Lofgren wrote an opinion piece in the Wall Street Journal outlining reforms to the Election Counting Act that they said would ensure that “Congress can’t overturn election results,” which those who staged the Capitol thought were calling for attack in early 2021.

“It’s about time,” added Cheney — a Wyoming Republican — and Lofgren, a California Democrat.

They said a number of people seeking political office in the November midterm elections, including those who would oversee the election process, bought into former President Donald Trump’s lies that fraudsters stole his election against Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential race. Those lies inspired Trump’s supporters to launch an attack on the Capitol in a desperate plot to prevent the House and Senate from confirming the former Republican president’s Electoral College defeat of his Democratic challenger.

Joe Biden made headlines over the weekend when he declared the Covid-19 pandemic “over,” even though the daily death toll from the virus in the United States remains significant. Here’s more from the interview that aired on CBS’ 60 Minutes:

Joe Biden said the “pandemic is over” in an interview aired Sunday, although he acknowledged that “we still have a problem with Covid” as the US continues to battle coronavirus infections that are killing hundreds of Americans a day.

The president told CBS’s 60 Minutes: “We still have a problem with Covid. We are still working on it a lot. But the pandemic has passed. If you notice, no one is wearing masks. Everyone seems to be in pretty good shape. And that’s why I think it’s changing.”

Last week, the World Health Organization announced that the end of the pandemic was “in sight”, after revealing that the weekly death toll was at its lowest level since March 2020.

Biden welcomes the release of American hostages in Afghanistan

Joe Biden he cheered Mark Frerichs‘ release from Taliban captivity in Afghanistan, saying it underscores his administration’s commitment to winning the freedom of Americans held abroad.

Here is the full statement from the White House:

Today we secured the release of Mark Frerichs and he will be coming home soon. Mark was taken to Afghanistan in January 2020 and held for 31 months. His release is the culmination of years of tireless work by dedicated public servants in our government and other partner governments, and I want to thank them for all that effort. I spoke to Mark’s sister today to share the good news and express how happy I am for Mark’s family. Bringing the negotiations that led to Mark’s freedom to a successful resolution required difficult decisions, which I did not make lightly. Our priority now is to ensure that Mark returns safe and sound and that he is given the space and time he needs to reintegrate into society. My administration continues to prioritize the safe return of all Americans held hostage or wrongfully detained abroad, and we will not stop until they are reunited with their families. We have much more work to do in many other cases, but Mark’s release demonstrates our continued commitment. Like our work to free Americans imprisoned in Burma, Haiti, Russia, Venezuela and elsewhere, it is our duty to do all we can to bring our people home.

Biden faced particular pressure to end the detention of the WNBA star Brittney Griner and business manager Paul Whelanand both were held by Russia while waging its war in Ukraine.

Let’s dive deeper into two polls that came out over the weekend that present a mixed bag for the Democratic Party as they face losing control of potentially both houses of Congress in the upcoming midterms.

First, the headline: Voters in an NBC News poll are split on which party they’d prefer to see lead Congress, with 46% each backing the GOP and Democrats. That, however, is an improvement over August, when Republicans held a slim lead. GOP voters are leading in terms of enthusiasm, but not by much, a reversal from the double-digit lead they had earlier this year.

Consider it silver linings for the Speaker of the House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, and Senate Majority Leader, Chuck Schumer, from a survey that otherwise confirms that they will have to fight to keep their jobs. But there were more troubling signs from the NBC data, like 47% of voters who say Biden’s policies have hurt the economy, versus 23% who say they’ve helped and 28% who say they’ve made no difference at all.

The New York Times/Siena College poll of Hispanic voters is important because the demographic is seen as a bulwark of Democratic support, and some analysts predict the growing number of Hispanic voters poses a long-term threat to the GOP’s base. The former remains true, at least for now, with 56 percent of those polled saying they plan to vote Democratic. Dig a little deeper and the news is not so good for Joe Bidenfun. Economic issues are the biggest motivator for Hispanic voters, but the data showed they are almost evenly split between Democrats and Republicans on which party they most agree with on the economy.

Polls show the battle for control of Congress is close, with the Republican Party gaining little ground among Hispanics

Good morning, American Politics readers. We’re 50 days away from midterm elections that will decide control of Congress for the next two years, and a new poll released by NBC News over the weekend shows Democrats tied with Republicans on which party voters prefer for control of the legislature. That’s pretty close for Democrats, but there was better news for them in a New York Times poll that found a majority of Hispanic voters — a key bloc the GOP is courting — still support Democrats.

That’s not all that’s happening today:

  • The news just came out that the Biden administration won the release of the last American hostage in Afghanistan, exchanging him for an imprisoned Taliban drug lord.

  • Biden leaves London after attending the funeral of Queen Elizabeth II and returns to Washington.

  • Kevin McCarthy, the House Republican leader who could soon be the next speaker of the house, reveals the GOP’s “commitment to America” ​​at an event in Pittsburgh.





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